LONDON - In a scenario that will delight organisers, TV executives and armchair fans, the Six Nations championship is set to be decided in the final minutes of the final fixture of next weekend’s “Super Saturday” triple bill when France face Ireland in Paris.
LONDON - In a scenario that will delight organisers, TV executives and armchair fans, the Six Nations championship is set to be decided in the final minutes of the final fixture of next weekend’s "Super Saturday” triple bill when France face Ireland in Paris.
After smashing Italy 46-7 on Saturday Ireland go into the game with three wins and a +81 points difference.
Any sort of victory for Joe Schmidt’s team is almost certain to bring them their second title in 29 years and complete a fairytale farewell for Brian O’Driscoll, playing his 141st and last international.
France also have three wins - somehow - but their feeble +3 differential means they would need an extraordinary landslide to have a chance.
England claimed their first Triple Crown since 2003 with their impressive 29-18 win over Wales at Twickenham on Sunday and travel to Italy needing victory to have a shot at that title.
Their +32 advantage means that they too would probably need to put 60 points on the Italians - an unlikely scenario in Rome - to prevail if Ireland also win. An England victory though would be enough should France also win.
A year ago it came down to the penultimate match and points difference, when an England win in Cardiff would have secured a grand slam while Wales needed to win by seven points to take the honours. Wales duly triumphed 30-3 to retain their title.
This year England get the ball rolling with a 2:30pm kickoff in Rome. Wales, their hopes of a third successive title long gone, then host Scotland at 4.45pm before Paris takes centre stage at 7:00pm.
Previous results in the two fixtures that matter have caused most British bookmakers to make England narrow favourites for what would be only their second title since their grand slam and World Cup-winning year of 2003.
In the last 50 years Ireland have managed just two wins in 30 championship games in Paris - though they did draw 17-17 on their last visit in 2012.
England, in contrast, have won all 19 of their games against Italy home and away, though their recent Rome encounters have been tight affairs with four, five, and four-point victories in the last three.
With England facing Australia and Wales in the pool stage of the 2015 World Cup at the ground - which also hosts both semifinals and the final - England will want to maintain the trend that has seen them beat all the sport’s major teams bar South Africa there since Lancaster took over at the start of 2012.
Ireland pushed them all the way three weeks ago, their 13-10 loss being the only blot in this season’s impressive campaign.
France have been laboured throughout the tournament and even the cliche of them delivering a classic performance just when it is least expected looks a long shot this year.
Coach Philippe Saint-Andre, however, remains hopeful they can step up several levels from Saturday’s fortunate 19-17 victory in Scotland.